Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
145 George Mason 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 8 18 - 14 10 - 8 +1.3      +0.4 167 +1.0 142 68.4 148 +1.4 153 -1.4 5
168 Delaware 0.0%   19 - 14 13 - 5 19 - 14 13 - 5 0.0      +1.2 145 -1.3 207 70.6 107 +1.8 146 +2.9 3
169 Towson 0.0%   17 - 13 13 - 5 17 - 13 13 - 5 -0.1      0.0 173 -0.2 176 68.4 147 +0.6 160 +3.0 2
174 Drexel 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 9 13 - 18 9 - 9 -0.5      -0.9 198 +0.4 158 59.3 318 -2.2 200 -2.4 7
178 Northeastern 0.0%   20 - 12 14 - 4 20 - 12 14 - 4 -0.6      +3.1 96 -3.7 274 63.0 267 +1.6 147 +4.5 1
182 James Madison 100.0%   16   20 - 14 11 - 7 20 - 14 11 - 7 -0.9      -2.0 226 +1.1 138 64.6 236 -0.1 172 +0.3 4
191 Georgia St. 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 14 - 16 10 - 8 -1.2      +2.6 111 -3.8 280 63.2 265 -2.9 215 -1.7 6
216 William & Mary 0.0%   12 - 17 7 - 11 12 - 17 7 - 11 -3.0      +2.9 102 -5.9 317 62.5 276 -4.4 233 -5.5 8
276 Old Dominion 0.0%   5 - 25 3 - 15 5 - 25 3 - 15 -6.9      -2.9 250 -4.0 283 69.3 128 -11.2 318 -11.1 11
285 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   9 - 20 5 - 13 9 - 20 5 - 13 -7.9      -2.9 249 -5.1 303 67.6 168 -6.8 271 -7.9 9
293 Hofstra 0.0%   6 - 25 4 - 14 6 - 25 4 - 14 -8.5      -9.2 335 +0.7 146 65.8 211 -9.5 303 -9.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
George Mason 5.0 100.0
Delaware 2.0 100.0
Towson 2.0 100.0
Drexel 7.0 100.0
Northeastern 1.0 100.0
James Madison 4.0 100.0
Georgia St. 5.0 100.0
William & Mary 8.0 100.0
Old Dominion 11.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 9.0 100.0
Hofstra 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
George Mason 10 - 8 100.0
Delaware 13 - 5 100.0
Towson 13 - 5 100.0
Drexel 9 - 9 100.0
Northeastern 14 - 4 100.0
James Madison 11 - 7 100.0
Georgia St. 10 - 8 100.0
William & Mary 7 - 11 100.0
Old Dominion 3 - 15 100.0
UNC Wilmington 5 - 13 100.0
Hofstra 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
George Mason
Delaware
Towson
Drexel
Northeastern 100.0% 100.0
James Madison
Georgia St.
William & Mary
Old Dominion
UNC Wilmington
Hofstra


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 99.9
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 100.0% 49.5% 76.0% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 76.0% 0.8 24.0 76.0
2nd Round 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0